BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Western Kentucky 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Western Kentucky 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
35.67 |
29.39 (-6.28) |
27.82 |
25.59 (-2.23) |
25.59 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
491.67 |
457.53 (-34.13) |
392.73 |
363.22 (-29.51) |
363.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.83 |
6.44 (-0.38) |
5.60 |
5.44 (-0.17) |
5.44 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
23.17 |
28.49 (+5.32) |
28.73 |
32.49 (+3.76) |
32.49 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
385.92 |
411.78 (+25.86) |
432.00 |
457.27 (+25.27) |
457.27 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.33 |
5.66 (+0.32) |
5.73 |
5.81 (+0.09) |
5.81 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.8 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
South Florida |
43.39 |
30.84 |
-12.55 |
74.23 |
70.14% |
W 41-24 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Houston Christian |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 52-22 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Ohio State |
5.52 |
48.14 |
+42.62 |
53.66 |
0.10% |
L 10-63 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Troy |
15.61 |
32.58 |
+16.97 |
48.18 |
22.78% |
L 24-27 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-28 |
Middle Tennessee |
33.57 |
26.30 |
-7.27 |
59.87 |
61.65% |
W 31-10 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-06 |
@Louisiana Tech |
37.64 |
28.18 |
-9.46 |
65.82 |
65.18% |
W 35-28 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-17 |
@Jacksonville State |
26.44 |
28.80 |
+2.35 |
55.24 |
46.22% |
L 17-20 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-24 |
Liberty |
31.64 |
43.78 |
+12.14 |
75.43 |
30.53% |
L 29-42 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-05 |
@UTEP |
30.57 |
22.66 |
-7.91 |
53.23 |
62.69% |
W 21-13 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
New Mexico State |
27.27 |
25.97 |
-1.29 |
53.24 |
52.08% |
L 29-38 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Sam Houston State |
32.43 |
19.45 |
-12.98 |
51.88 |
70.82% |
W 28-23 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Florida International |
37.52 |
20.90 |
-16.62 |
58.42 |
76.65% |
W 41-28 |
7-5 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-18 |
@Old Dominion |
26.79 |
26.18 |
-0.62 |
52.97 |
50.99% |
W 38-35 |
8-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.01% |
| 2-11 |
0.11% |
| 3-10 |
0.87% |
| 4-9 |
3.71% |
| 5-8 |
10.57% |
| 6-7 |
19.58% |
| 7-6 |
25.00% |
| 8-5 |
21.70% |
| 9-4 |
12.80% |
| 10-3 |
4.64% |
| 11-2 |
0.94% |
| 12-1 |
0.08% |